Investor-grade market analytics for Fredericksburg, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.
$514,969
-4.0% year-over-year
5.1%
gross annual
-4.1%
base case (Zillow ZHVF)
-4.1% year-over-year
25/100
LowNet migration: Top 39% nationally
In-migrants avg $180,542 AGI vs out-migrants $94,328
Fredericksburg, TX is experiencing a correction with -4.0% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 7.6x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+44 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.08% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.
12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)
Fredericksburg, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index
Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.