Markets/Texas/Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown

Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$419,518

-6.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.5%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown Market Summary

Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX is experiencing a correction with -6.0% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.3x, below the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+13,592 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk is moderate (49/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 4.46% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score81/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.3x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$97,638

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 49/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

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Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics