Markets/Texas/Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$308,933

-2.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.4%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
4.2mo supply · Score -2/7

Migration: Top 0% nationally

Income Migration

📉 Wealth Drain0.89x

In-migrants avg $78,910 AGI vs out-migrants $88,238

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

71 ZIP codes in Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Market Summary

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX is experiencing a correction with -2.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.84x, below the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+10,350 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 6.4% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score88/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$80,458

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (72/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.