Markets/Texas/Midland

Midland, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Midland, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$332,760

+1.6% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+1.6%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+1.6% year-over-year

Climate Risk

30/100

Low

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
382mo supply · Score -2/7

Net migration: Top 10% nationally

Income Migration

📉 Wealth Drain0.82x

In-migrants avg $79,248 AGI vs out-migrants $96,771

Midland Market Summary

Midland, TX is in a stabilization phase with 1.6% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.56x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+578 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (30/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.9% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score92/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.6x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$93,442

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+0.8%
Base Case+1.6%
Bull Case+2.4%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Midland, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (40/100). The composite climate risk score of 30/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Midland dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.