Markets/Texas/Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$357,649

-3.9% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.5%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Market Summary

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX is experiencing a correction with -3.9% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.1x, below the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+30,152 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk is moderate (52/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.48% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score84/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.1x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$87,155

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (72/100). The composite climate risk score of 52/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

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Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics