Markets/Utah/Vernal

Vernal, UT Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Vernal, Utah. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$340,768

+4.6% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.2%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Vernal Market Summary

Vernal, UT shows steady growth at 4.6% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 4.88x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+133 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (10/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.17% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score73/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.9x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$69,861

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Vernal, UT's primary climate exposure is wildfire (25/100). The composite climate risk score of 10/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Vernal dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Vernal Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics