Markets/Utah/Vernal

Vernal, UT Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Vernal, Utah. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$360,673

+4.6% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.0%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+4.5%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+4.5% year-over-year

Climate Risk

10/100

Very Low

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
6.2mo supply · Score -2/7

Net migration: Top 47% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.15x

In-migrants avg $51,903 AGI vs out-migrants $45,240

Vernal Market Summary

Vernal, UT shows steady growth at 4.6% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.16x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+12 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (10/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.0% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score69/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$69,861

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+2.2%
Base Case+4.5%
Bull Case+6.7%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Vernal, UT's primary climate exposure is wildfire (25/100). The composite climate risk score of 10/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Vernal dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.