Markets/Florida/Jacksonville

Jacksonville, FL Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Jacksonville, Florida. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$353,050

-0.9% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-0.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-0.9% year-over-year

Climate Risk

41/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.8mo supply · Score 0/7

Net migration: Top 1% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.20x

In-migrants avg $80,851 AGI vs out-migrants $67,479

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

19 ZIP codes in Jacksonville are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Jacksonville Market Summary

Jacksonville, FL is experiencing a correction with -0.9% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.58x, below the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+7,896 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk is moderate (41/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.82% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score77/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.6x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$77,013

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-1.4%
Base Case-0.9%
Bull Case-0.5%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Jacksonville, FL's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (53/100). The composite climate risk score of 41/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Jacksonville dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.