Markets/Florida/Jacksonville

Jacksonville, FL Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Jacksonville, Florida. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$343,577

-3.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Jacksonville Market Summary

Jacksonville, FL is experiencing a correction with -3.0% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.46x, below the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+10,983 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk is moderate (41/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.79% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score79/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.5x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$77,013

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Jacksonville, FL's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (53/100). The composite climate risk score of 41/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Jacksonville dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics