Markets/Oregon/Medford

Medford, OR Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Medford, Oregon. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$441,520

+1.2% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.0%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.2mo supply · Score 0/7

Migration: Top 13% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.10x

In-migrants avg $63,747 AGI vs out-migrants $58,002

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Opportunity Zone Market

5 ZIP codes in Medford are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Medford Market Summary

Medford, OR is in a stabilization phase with 1.2% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 6.18x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+388 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.0% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score55/100
Price-to-Income Ratio6.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$71,443

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Medford, OR's primary climate exposure is wildfire (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Medford dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.