Markets/Oregon/Ontario

Ontario, OR-ID Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Ontario, Oregon. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$378,051

+3.6% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.0%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
2.8mo supply · Score +1/7

Migration: Top 54% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.02x

In-migrants avg $53,295 AGI vs out-migrants $52,193

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Opportunity Zone Market

3 ZIP codes in Ontario are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Ontario Market Summary

Ontario, OR-ID shows steady growth at 3.6% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 6.38x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (10/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.96% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score52/100
Price-to-Income Ratio6.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$59,225

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Ontario, OR-ID's primary climate exposure is wildfire (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 10/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Ontario dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.