Kapaa, HI Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Kapaa, Hawaii. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$1,018,439

+2.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.4%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+2.0%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+2.0% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
5.6mo supply · Score -3/7

Net migration: Top 46% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.61x

In-migrants avg $117,967 AGI vs out-migrants $73,379

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

3 ZIP codes in Kapaa are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Kapaa Market Summary

Kapaa, HI shows steady growth at 2.0% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 10.88x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+16 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 4.37% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

0
Price-to-Income Ratio10.9x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$93,612

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+1.0%
Base Case+2.0%
Bull Case+3.0%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Kapaa, HI's primary climate exposure is flooding (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Kapaa dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.