Markets/New York/New York-Newark-Jersey City

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for New York-Newark-Jersey City, New York. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$735,075

+4.7% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+4.6%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+4.6% year-over-year

Climate Risk

58/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

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Warm
5.9mo supply ยท Score +2/7

Net migration: Bottom 1% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.89x

In-migrants avg $106,417 AGI vs out-migrants $119,212

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Opportunity Zone Market

186 ZIP codes in New York-Newark-Jersey City are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

New York-Newark-Jersey City Market Summary

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA shows steady growth at 4.7% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 7.55x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Net negative migration (-69,102 returns/year) is reducing housing demand pressure. Climate risk is moderate (58/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.9% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score35/100
Price-to-Income Ratio7.5x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$97,334

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+2.3%
Base Case+4.6%
Bull Case+7.0%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA's primary climate exposure is wind storms (80/100). The composite climate risk score of 58/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full New York-Newark-Jersey City dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.