Markets/Hawaii/Urban Honolulu

Urban Honolulu, HI Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Urban Honolulu, Hawaii. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$856,305

+2.3% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.2%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+2.3%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+2.3% year-over-year

Climate Risk

70/100

High

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.09x

In-migrants avg $77,302 AGI vs out-migrants $71,056

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Opportunity Zone Market

6 ZIP codes in Urban Honolulu are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Urban Honolulu Market Summary

Urban Honolulu, HI shows steady growth at 2.3% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 8.21x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Net negative migration (-2,229 returns/year) is reducing housing demand pressure. Climate risk is elevated (70/100), which may impact insurance costs and long-term property values. Rental yield of 4.23% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score26/100
Price-to-Income Ratio8.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$104,264

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+1.1%
Base Case+2.3%
Bull Case+3.4%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Urban Honolulu, HI's primary climate exposure is flooding (90/100). The composite climate risk score of 70/100 (High) indicates overall risk which may increase insurance premiums and impact property values over time. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Urban Honolulu dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.