Markets/Hawaii/Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina

Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, Hawaii. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$988,552

-6.3% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.3%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina Market Summary

Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI is experiencing a correction with -6.3% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 10.4x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 4.29% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

0
Price-to-Income Ratio10.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$95,049

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI's primary climate exposure is flooding (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics