Stockton, CA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Stockton, California. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$524,305

-2.5% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.5%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-2.5%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-2.5% year-over-year

Climate Risk

70/100

High

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.5mo supply · Score +1/7

Net migration: Top 8% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.31x

In-migrants avg $88,565 AGI vs out-migrants $67,428

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Opportunity Zone Market

11 ZIP codes in Stockton are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Stockton Market Summary

Stockton, CA is experiencing a correction with -2.5% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.92x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+761 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is elevated (70/100), which may impact insurance costs and long-term property values. Rental yield of 5.55% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score58/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.9x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$88,531

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-3.7%
Base Case-2.5%
Bull Case-1.2%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Stockton, CA's primary climate exposure is flooding (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 70/100 (High) indicates overall risk which may increase insurance premiums and impact property values over time. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Stockton dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.