Markets/Virginia/Charlottesville

Charlottesville, VA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Charlottesville, Virginia. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$466,498

+1.4% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.1%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+1.3%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+1.3% year-over-year

Climate Risk

13/100

Very Low

Market Momentum

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Warm
2.8mo supply ยท Score +3/7

Net migration: Bottom 5% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ’ฐ Wealth Influx1.33x

In-migrants avg $98,863 AGI vs out-migrants $74,540

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Opportunity Zone Market

2 ZIP codes in Charlottesville are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Charlottesville Market Summary

Charlottesville, VA is in a stabilization phase with 1.4% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.15x, above the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (13/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.09% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score69/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$90,552

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+0.7%
Base Case+1.3%
Bull Case+2.0%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Charlottesville, VA's primary climate exposure is wind storms (43/100). The composite climate risk score of 13/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Charlottesville dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.