Madera, CA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Madera, California. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$429,477

+1.7% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.4%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
5.2mo supply · Score -1/7

Migration: Top 10% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.27x

In-migrants avg $65,267 AGI vs out-migrants $51,367

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

6 ZIP codes in Madera are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Madera Market Summary

Madera, CA is in a stabilization phase with 1.7% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.84x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+602 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is elevated (70/100), which may impact insurance costs and long-term property values. Rental yield of 6.38% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score59/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$73,543

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Madera, CA's primary climate exposure is flooding (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 70/100 (High) indicates overall risk which may increase insurance premiums and impact property values over time. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Madera dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.