Markets/Washington/Oak Harbor

Oak Harbor, WA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Oak Harbor, Washington. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$638,443

+0.5% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.0%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+0.5%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+0.5% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.3mo supply · Score +1/7

Net migration: Top 18% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.37x

In-migrants avg $103,903 AGI vs out-migrants $75,629

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

1 ZIP codes in Oak Harbor are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Oak Harbor Market Summary

Oak Harbor, WA is in a stabilization phase with 0.5% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 7.23x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+238 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 3.98% is below average, suggesting this market is more suited for appreciation-driven strategies.

Affordability

Affordability Score40/100
Price-to-Income Ratio7.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$88,358

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+0.3%
Base Case+0.5%
Bull Case+0.8%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Oak Harbor, WA's primary climate exposure is flooding (25/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Oak Harbor dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.