Markets/Washington/Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Washington. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$745,263

-1.8% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

3.6%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

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Warm
2.7mo supply ยท Score +3/7

Migration: Top 2% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.81x

In-migrants avg $99,222 AGI vs out-migrants $122,015

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Opportunity Zone Market

32 ZIP codes in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue Market Summary

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA is experiencing a correction with -1.8% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 6.62x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+3,458 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk is elevated (77/100), which may impact insurance costs and long-term property values. Rental yield of 3.65% is below average, suggesting this market is more suited for appreciation-driven strategies.

Affordability

Affordability Score48/100
Price-to-Income Ratio6.6x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$112,594

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA's primary climate exposure is flooding (77/100). The composite climate risk score of 77/100 (High) indicates overall risk which may increase insurance premiums and impact property values over time. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.