Markets/Washington/Ellensburg

Ellensburg, WA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Ellensburg, Washington. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$502,439

-0.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.4%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-0.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-0.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
5.7mo supply · Score -1/7

Net migration: Top 18% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.98x

In-migrants avg $120,234 AGI vs out-migrants $60,629

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

1 ZIP codes in Ellensburg are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Ellensburg Market Summary

Ellensburg, WA is experiencing a correction with -0.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 7.19x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+241 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 4.36% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score40/100
Price-to-Income Ratio7.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$69,928

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-0.1%
Base Case-0.1%
Bull Case+0.0%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Ellensburg, WA's primary climate exposure is wildfire (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Ellensburg dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.