Tyler, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Tyler, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$271,212

-0.4% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.1%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-0.4%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-0.4% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
5.2mo supply · Score -2/7

Net migration: Top 12% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.09x

In-migrants avg $63,380 AGI vs out-migrants $58,001

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Opportunity Zone Market

4 ZIP codes in Tyler are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Tyler Market Summary

Tyler, TX is experiencing a correction with -0.4% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.77x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+433 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 6.1% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score89/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$71,923

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-0.6%
Base Case-0.4%
Bull Case-0.2%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Tyler, TX's primary climate exposure is wind storms (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Tyler dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.