Markets/Arizona/Sierra Vista-Douglas

Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Sierra Vista-Douglas, Arizona. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$263,531

-0.2% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-0.2%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-0.2% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
4.8mo supply · Score -1/7

Net migration: Top 27% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.10x

In-migrants avg $56,087 AGI vs out-migrants $51,120

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Opportunity Zone Market

4 ZIP codes in Sierra Vista-Douglas are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Sierra Vista-Douglas Market Summary

Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ is experiencing a correction with -0.2% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.47x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+125 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.88% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score79/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.5x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$58,970

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-0.3%
Base Case-0.2%
Bull Case-0.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ's primary climate exposure is flooding (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Sierra Vista-Douglas dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.