Markets/Arizona/Sierra Vista-Douglas

Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Sierra Vista-Douglas, Arizona. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$256,044

+1.4% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.2%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Sierra Vista-Douglas Market Summary

Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ is in a stabilization phase with 1.4% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.34x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+89 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 6.15% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score81/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.3x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$58,970

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ's primary climate exposure is flooding (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Sierra Vista-Douglas dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Sierra Vista-Douglas Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics