Dayton, TN Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Dayton, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$248,057

+0.6% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

3.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Dayton Market Summary

Dayton, TN is in a stabilization phase with 0.6% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.46x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+55 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 3.94% is below average, suggesting this market is more suited for appreciation-driven strategies.

Affordability

Affordability Score79/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.5x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$55,568

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Dayton, TN's primary climate exposure is wind storms (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Dayton dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Dayton Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics