Dayton, TN Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Dayton, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$264,746

+4.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+3.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+3.9% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
5.7mo supply · Score 0/7

Net migration: Bottom 47% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.07x

In-migrants avg $54,487 AGI vs out-migrants $51,128

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Opportunity Zone Market

2 ZIP codes in Dayton are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Dayton Market Summary

Dayton, TN shows steady growth at 4.0% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.76x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.76% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score75/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$55,568

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+2.0%
Base Case+3.9%
Bull Case+5.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Dayton, TN's primary climate exposure is wind storms (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Dayton dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.