Markets/Texas/Athens

Athens, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Athens, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$271,269

-2.3% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-2.3%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-2.3% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
6.3mo supply · Score -3/7

Net migration: Top 12% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.33x

In-migrants avg $72,543 AGI vs out-migrants $54,498

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

3 ZIP codes in Athens are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Athens Market Summary

Athens, TX is experiencing a correction with -2.3% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.24x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+439 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.94% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score82/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$63,955

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-3.5%
Base Case-2.3%
Bull Case-1.2%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Athens, TX's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Athens dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.