Markets/Tennessee/Johnson City

Johnson City, TN Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Johnson City, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$269,798

-0.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.2%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Johnson City Market Summary

Johnson City, TN is experiencing a correction with -0.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 4.81x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+250 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (20/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 6.19% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score74/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$56,096

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Johnson City, TN's primary climate exposure is wind storms (55/100). The composite climate risk score of 20/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Johnson City dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Johnson City Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics