Markets/Texas/Abilene

Abilene, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Abilene, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$219,823

+7.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

10.6%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

๐Ÿ”ฅ
Hot
1.5mo supply ยท Score +4/7

Migration: Top 34% nationally

Income Migration

โžก๏ธ Neutral1.09x

In-migrants avg $56,278 AGI vs out-migrants $51,741

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Opportunity Zone Market

4 ZIP codes in Abilene are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Abilene Market Summary

Abilene, TX is experiencing strong growth with 7.0% year-over-year appreciation, indicating a seller's market with robust demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.31x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+66 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (23/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 10.56% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score96/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.3x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$66,464

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Abilene, TX's primary climate exposure is wind storms (42/100). The composite climate risk score of 23/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Abilene dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.