Markets/Texas/Jacksonville

Jacksonville, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Jacksonville, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$220,640

-6.7% year-over-year

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Jacksonville Market Summary

Jacksonville, TX is experiencing a correction with -6.7% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.69x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+106 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability.

Affordability

Affordability Score90/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.7x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$59,830

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Jacksonville, TX's primary climate exposure is wind storms (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Jacksonville dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics