Markets/Texas/Jacksonville

Jacksonville, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Jacksonville, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$227,331

-3.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.5%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-3.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-3.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
5.8mo supply · Score -3/7

Net migration: Top 40% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.24x

In-migrants avg $67,822 AGI vs out-migrants $54,821

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

4 ZIP codes in Jacksonville are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Jacksonville Market Summary

Jacksonville, TX is experiencing a correction with -3.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.8x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+38 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 7.46% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score89/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$59,830

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-4.6%
Base Case-3.1%
Bull Case-1.5%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Jacksonville, TX's primary climate exposure is wind storms (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Jacksonville dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.