Markets/Tennessee/Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$444,193

-0.5% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin Market Summary

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN is experiencing a correction with -0.5% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.38x, above the national average of 4.8x. Strong net positive migration (+6,025 returns/year) reflects sustained population inflows driving housing demand. Climate risk remains low (30/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.78% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score66/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$82,499

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 30/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.