Markets/Tennessee/Shelbyville

Shelbyville, TN Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Shelbyville, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$331,044

+1.3% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.3%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+1.3%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+1.3% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
4.2mo supply · Score 0/7

Net migration: Top 29% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.21x

In-migrants avg $59,222 AGI vs out-migrants $49,099

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Opportunity Zone Market

2 ZIP codes in Shelbyville are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Shelbyville Market Summary

Shelbyville, TN is in a stabilization phase with 1.3% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.32x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+99 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 5.35% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score67/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.3x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$62,197

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+0.6%
Base Case+1.3%
Bull Case+1.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Shelbyville, TN's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Shelbyville dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.