Markets/Montana/Missoula

Missoula, MT Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Missoula, Montana. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$582,557

+1.2% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

3.2%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
4.1mo supply · Score 0/7

Migration: Top 20% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral0.97x

In-migrants avg $59,380 AGI vs out-migrants $61,188

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Opportunity Zone Market

1 ZIP codes in Missoula are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Missoula Market Summary

Missoula, MT is in a stabilization phase with 1.2% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 8.22x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+205 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 3.23% is below average, suggesting this market is more suited for appreciation-driven strategies.

Affordability

Affordability Score25/100
Price-to-Income Ratio8.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$70,888

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Missoula, MT's primary climate exposure is wildfire (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Missoula dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.