Markets/Texas/Bay City

Bay City, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Bay City, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$198,363

+1.9% year-over-year

12-Month Forecast

-6.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-6.1% year-over-year

Bay City Market Summary

Bay City, TX is in a stabilization phase with 1.9% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.6x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability.

Affordability

Affordability Score91/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.6x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$55,174

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-9.2%
Base Case-6.1%
Bull Case-3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Bay City, TX's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Bay City dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.

Bay City Real Estate Market Data 2026 | Lotlytics | Lotlytics