Markets/Texas/Bay City

Bay City, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Bay City, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$210,191

+1.4% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.6%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+1.4%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+1.4% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
8mo supply · Score -3/7

Net migration: Top 45% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.21x

In-migrants avg $64,212 AGI vs out-migrants $53,276

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

4 ZIP codes in Bay City are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Bay City Market Summary

Bay City, TX is in a stabilization phase with 1.4% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.81x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+21 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.62% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score88/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$55,174

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+0.7%
Base Case+1.4%
Bull Case+2.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Bay City, TX's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Bay City dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.