Markets/Texas/Uvalde

Uvalde, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Uvalde, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$198,726

-3.6% year-over-year

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

๐ŸงŠ
Cold
12.8mo supply ยท Score -4/7

Migration: Top 60% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.87x

In-migrants avg $44,129 AGI vs out-migrants $50,658

Uvalde Market Summary

Uvalde, TX is experiencing a correction with -3.6% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.44x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability.

Affordability

Affordability Score94/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$57,849

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Uvalde, TX's primary climate exposure is flooding (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Uvalde dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.