Markets/Texas/Brownsville-Harlingen

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Brownsville-Harlingen, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$209,484

+1.3% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

8.4%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+1.3%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+1.3% year-over-year

Climate Risk

70/100

High

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
5.8mo supply · Score -2/7

Net migration: Bottom 4% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.10x

In-migrants avg $55,406 AGI vs out-migrants $50,139

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

9 ZIP codes in Brownsville-Harlingen are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Brownsville-Harlingen Market Summary

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX is in a stabilization phase with 1.3% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.08x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is elevated (70/100), which may impact insurance costs and long-term property values. Rental yield of 8.38% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score85/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.1x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$51,334

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+0.6%
Base Case+1.3%
Bull Case+1.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (90/100). The composite climate risk score of 70/100 (High) indicates overall risk which may increase insurance premiums and impact property values over time. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Brownsville-Harlingen dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.