Markets/Texas/Lubbock

Lubbock, TX Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Lubbock, Texas. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$213,274

+2.2% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+2.2%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+2.2% year-over-year

Climate Risk

30/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.1mo supply · Score +1/7

Net migration: Top 11% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.02x

In-migrants avg $57,829 AGI vs out-migrants $56,398

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Opportunity Zone Market

7 ZIP codes in Lubbock are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Lubbock Market Summary

Lubbock, TX shows steady growth at 2.2% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.42x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+483 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (30/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 7.78% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score94/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$62,288

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+1.1%
Base Case+2.2%
Bull Case+3.3%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Lubbock, TX's primary climate exposure is wind storms (63/100). The composite climate risk score of 30/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Lubbock dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.