Rapid City, SD Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Rapid City, South Dakota. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$376,376

+2.2% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+2.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+2.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.8mo supply · Score 0/7

Net migration: Top 16% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.03x

In-migrants avg $66,694 AGI vs out-migrants $64,888

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Opportunity Zone Market

2 ZIP codes in Rapid City are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Rapid City Market Summary

Rapid City, SD shows steady growth at 2.2% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.23x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+294 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.76% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score68/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$71,985

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+1.1%
Base Case+2.1%
Bull Case+3.2%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Rapid City, SD's primary climate exposure is wildfire (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Rapid City dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.