Markets/California/Bakersfield

Bakersfield, CA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Bakersfield, California. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$366,239

-0.4% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.5mo supply · Score +1/7

Migration: Top 83% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral0.92x

In-migrants avg $55,280 AGI vs out-migrants $60,060

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Opportunity Zone Market

15 ZIP codes in Bakersfield are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Bakersfield Market Summary

Bakersfield, CA is experiencing a correction with -0.4% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.41x, above the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is elevated (70/100), which may impact insurance costs and long-term property values. Rental yield of 5.82% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score66/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$67,660

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Bakersfield, CA's primary climate exposure is flooding (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 70/100 (High) indicates overall risk which may increase insurance premiums and impact property values over time. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Bakersfield dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.