Markets/Tennessee/Union City

Union City, TN Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Union City, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$168,006

+7.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.3%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+6.8%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+6.8% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

๐ŸงŠ
Cold
6.2mo supply ยท Score -4/7

Net migration: Bottom 47% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ’ฐ Wealth Influx1.18x

In-migrants avg $46,143 AGI vs out-migrants $39,074

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Opportunity Zone Market

4 ZIP codes in Union City are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Union City Market Summary

Union City, TN is experiencing strong growth with 7.0% year-over-year appreciation, indicating a seller's market with robust demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.16x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 7.29% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score98/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$53,102

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+3.4%
Base Case+6.8%
Bull Case+10.2%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Union City, TN's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Union City dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.