Markets/Tennessee/Kingsport-Bristol

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Kingsport-Bristol, Tennessee. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$246,243

+1.3% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.4%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+1.3%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+1.3% year-over-year

Climate Risk

19/100

Very Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.7mo supply · Score -1/7

Net migration: Top 31% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.20x

In-migrants avg $62,859 AGI vs out-migrants $52,420

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

15 ZIP codes in Kingsport-Bristol are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Kingsport-Bristol Market Summary

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA is in a stabilization phase with 1.3% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.4x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+87 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (19/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 6.43% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score80/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$55,948

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+0.7%
Base Case+1.3%
Bull Case+2.0%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA's primary climate exposure is wind storms (44/100). The composite climate risk score of 19/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Kingsport-Bristol dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.