Markets/New York/Rochester

Rochester, NY Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Rochester, New York. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$289,019

+4.8% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.5%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+4.7%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+4.7% year-over-year

Climate Risk

27/100

Low

Market Momentum

๐Ÿ”ฅ
Hot
1.5mo supply ยท Score +5/7

Net migration: Bottom 3% nationally

Income Migration

โžก๏ธ Neutral0.93x

In-migrants avg $65,105 AGI vs out-migrants $69,992

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Opportunity Zone Market

19 ZIP codes in Rochester are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Rochester Market Summary

Rochester, NY shows steady growth at 4.8% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.88x, below the national average of 4.8x. Net negative migration (-1,789 returns/year) is reducing housing demand pressure. Climate risk remains low (27/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 6.46% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score87/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.9x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$74,438

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+2.4%
Base Case+4.7%
Bull Case+7.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Rochester, NY's primary climate exposure is flooding (41/100). The composite climate risk score of 27/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Rochester dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.