Markets/New York/Buffalo-Cheektowaga

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Buffalo-Cheektowaga, New York. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$291,683

+4.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.0%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+4.0%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+4.0% year-over-year

Climate Risk

60/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

๐Ÿ”ฅ
Hot
2.6mo supply ยท Score +5/7

Net migration: Bottom 2% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.83x

In-migrants avg $59,825 AGI vs out-migrants $71,835

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Opportunity Zone Market

25 ZIP codes in Buffalo-Cheektowaga are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Buffalo-Cheektowaga Market Summary

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY shows steady growth at 4.1% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.13x, below the national average of 4.8x. Net negative migration (-2,338 returns/year) is reducing housing demand pressure. Climate risk is moderate (60/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.96% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score84/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.1x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$70,572

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+2.0%
Base Case+4.0%
Bull Case+6.0%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY's primary climate exposure is flooding (60/100). The composite climate risk score of 60/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Buffalo-Cheektowaga dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.