Markets/Florida/Lake City

Lake City, FL Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Lake City, Florida. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$274,750

+0.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
22.9mo supply · Score -2/7

Migration: Top 20% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.22x

In-migrants avg $55,694 AGI vs out-migrants $45,761

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

3 ZIP codes in Lake City are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Lake City Market Summary

Lake City, FL is in a stabilization phase with 0.1% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 4.99x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+203 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 6.75% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score72/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.0x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$55,070

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Lake City, FL's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Lake City dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.