Arcadia, FL Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Arcadia, Florida. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$253,772

-0.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.6%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-0.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-0.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
4.6mo supply · Score -2/7

Net migration: Top 18% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral1.09x

In-migrants avg $48,963 AGI vs out-migrants $44,997

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Opportunity Zone Market

1 ZIP codes in Arcadia are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Arcadia Market Summary

Arcadia, FL is experiencing a correction with -0.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 4.99x, above the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+233 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 7.57% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score72/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.0x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$50,868

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-0.1%
Base Case-0.1%
Bull Case+0.0%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Arcadia, FL's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Arcadia dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.