Markets/Florida/Gainesville

Gainesville, FL Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Gainesville, Florida. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$304,902

-1.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.5%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-1.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-1.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

28/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
4.1mo supply · Score -1/7

Net migration: Bottom 11% nationally

Income Migration

➡️ Neutral0.95x

In-migrants avg $57,074 AGI vs out-migrants $59,765

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

10 ZIP codes in Gainesville are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Gainesville Market Summary

Gainesville, FL is experiencing a correction with -1.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.17x, above the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (28/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 6.54% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score69/100
Price-to-Income Ratio5.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$58,946

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-1.7%
Base Case-1.1%
Bull Case-0.6%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Gainesville, FL's primary climate exposure is hurricanes (57/100). The composite climate risk score of 28/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Gainesville dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.