Investor-grade market analytics for Nogales, Arizona. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.
$278,808
+0.1% year-over-year
6.5%
gross annual
+0.1%
base case (Zillow ZHVF)
+0.1% year-over-year
50/100
ModerateNet migration: Bottom 14% nationally
In-migrants avg $49,191 AGI vs out-migrants $41,171
Opportunity Zone Market
1 ZIP codes in Nogales are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →
Nogales, AZ is in a stabilization phase with 0.1% year-over-year appreciation, suggesting cooling demand and a shift toward balanced conditions. Affordability is moderately stretched with a price-to-income ratio of 5.2x, above the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 6.48% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.
12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)
Nogales, AZ's primary climate exposure is wildfire (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index
Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.