Markets/New Mexico/Alamogordo

Alamogordo, NM Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Alamogordo, New Mexico. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$233,538

-2.3% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-2.4%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-2.4% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
5.2mo supply · Score -1/7

Net migration: Top 21% nationally

Income Migration

📉 Wealth Drain0.90x

In-migrants avg $44,881 AGI vs out-migrants $50,105

Alamogordo Market Summary

Alamogordo, NM is experiencing a correction with -2.3% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 4.43x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+198 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 7.92% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score80/100
Price-to-Income Ratio4.4x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$52,717

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-3.5%
Base Case-2.4%
Bull Case-1.2%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Alamogordo, NM's primary climate exposure is wildfire (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Alamogordo dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.