Markets/Alaska/Fairbanks

Fairbanks, AK Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Fairbanks, Alaska. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$317,116

+3.7% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.9%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+3.7%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+3.7% year-over-year

Climate Risk

50/100

Moderate

Market Momentum

๐Ÿ”ฅ
Hot
1.9mo supply ยท Score +5/7

Net migration: Bottom 8% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.89x

In-migrants avg $58,215 AGI vs out-migrants $65,399

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Opportunity Zone Market

2 ZIP codes in Fairbanks are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Fairbanks Market Summary

Fairbanks, AK shows steady growth at 3.7% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.74x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 6.92% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score89/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.7x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$84,722

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+1.8%
Base Case+3.7%
Bull Case+5.5%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Fairbanks, AK's primary climate exposure is wildfire (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Fairbanks dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.