Spearfish, SD Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Spearfish, South Dakota. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$449,760

-0.8% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.1%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-0.8%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-0.8% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
5.3mo supply · Score -2/7

Net migration: Bottom 36% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.22x

In-migrants avg $76,791 AGI vs out-migrants $62,870

Spearfish Market Summary

Spearfish, SD is experiencing a correction with -0.8% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 6.74x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.08% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score47/100
Price-to-Income Ratio6.7x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$66,766

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-1.2%
Base Case-0.8%
Bull Case-0.4%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Spearfish, SD's primary climate exposure is wildfire (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Spearfish dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.