Spearfish, SD Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Spearfish, South Dakota. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$454,946

-1.2% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

3.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

❄️
Cooling
5.3mo supply · Score -2/7

Migration: Top 64% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.22x

In-migrants avg $76,791 AGI vs out-migrants $62,870

Spearfish Market Summary

Spearfish, SD is experiencing a correction with -1.2% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability pressure is significant: the price-to-income ratio of 6.81x well exceeds the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 3.77% is below average, suggesting this market is more suited for appreciation-driven strategies.

Affordability

Affordability Score46/100
Price-to-Income Ratio6.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$66,766

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Spearfish, SD's primary climate exposure is wildfire (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Spearfish dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.