Paducah, KY-IL Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Paducah, Kentucky. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$170,202

-3.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

7.7%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-3.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-3.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

24/100

Very Low

Market Momentum

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Warm
2.9mo supply ยท Score +2/7

Net migration: Bottom 44% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.89x

In-migrants avg $45,088 AGI vs out-migrants $50,894

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Opportunity Zone Market

9 ZIP codes in Paducah are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Paducah Market Summary

Paducah, KY-IL is experiencing a correction with -3.1% year-over-year decline, signaling a buyer's market with softening demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 2.73x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk remains low (24/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 7.74% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score100/100
Price-to-Income Ratio2.7x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$62,286

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-4.7%
Base Case-3.1%
Bull Case-1.6%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Paducah, KY-IL's primary climate exposure is wind storms (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 24/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Paducah dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.