Erie, PA Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Erie, Pennsylvania. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Updated monthly.

Median Home Price

$228,464

+6.0% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

5.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

-5.9%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

-5.9% year-over-year

Market Momentum

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Warm
1.2mo supply ยท Score +3/7

Migration: Top 91% nationally

Income Migration

๐Ÿ“‰ Wealth Drain0.89x

In-migrants avg $46,313 AGI vs out-migrants $52,230

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Opportunity Zone Market

5 ZIP codes in Erie are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

Erie Market Summary

Erie, PA is experiencing strong growth with 6.0% year-over-year appreciation, indicating a seller's market with robust demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.72x, below the national average of 4.8x. Climate risk is moderate (50/100) with manageable exposure. Rental yield of 5.78% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score90/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.7x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$61,476

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case-8.8%
Base Case-5.9%
Bull Case-2.9%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Erie, PA's primary climate exposure is wind storms (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 50/100 (Moderate) indicates overall risk with manageable exposure that should be factored into investment analysis. Buyers should consider climate-related insurance costs and potential future regulatory changes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Erie dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.