Markets/Alabama/Florence-Muscle Shoals

Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for Florence-Muscle Shoals, Alabama. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through August 2026.

Median Home Price

$217,782

+2.7% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

6.2%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+2.7%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+2.7% year-over-year

Climate Risk

38/100

Low

Market Momentum

➡️
Neutral
3.3mo supply · Score 0/7

Net migration: Top 38% nationally

Income Migration

💰 Wealth Influx1.17x

In-migrants avg $55,358 AGI vs out-migrants $47,268

🏛️

Opportunity Zone Market

2 ZIP codes in Florence-Muscle Shoals are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more →

Florence-Muscle Shoals Market Summary

Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL shows steady growth at 2.7% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.75x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+49 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (38/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 6.19% is strong, making this market attractive for buy-and-hold investors.

Affordability

Affordability Score89/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.8x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$58,049

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+1.4%
Base Case+2.7%
Bull Case+4.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL's primary climate exposure is wind storms (70/100). The composite climate risk score of 38/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full Florence-Muscle Shoals dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.