Markets/Indiana/New Castle

New Castle, IN Real Estate Market 2026

Investor-grade market analytics for New Castle, Indiana. Data from Zillow ZHVI, FRED, Census ACS, and FEMA NRI. Data through July 2026.

Median Home Price

$193,131

+2.1% year-over-year

Est. Rental Yield

4.8%

gross annual

12-Month Forecast

+2.1%

base case (Zillow ZHVF)

+2.1% year-over-year

Climate Risk

25/100

Low

Market Momentum

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Warm
1.8mo supply ยท Score +3/7

Net migration: Top 38% nationally

Income Migration

โžก๏ธ Neutral1.03x

In-migrants avg $49,009 AGI vs out-migrants $47,529

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Opportunity Zone Market

1 ZIP codes in New Castle are designated Qualified Opportunity Zones (IRC 1400Z-2), eligible for capital gains tax deferral on qualifying investments. Learn more โ†’

New Castle Market Summary

New Castle, IN shows steady growth at 2.1% year-over-year appreciation, reflecting balanced market conditions with moderate demand. Affordability remains favorable with a price-to-income ratio of 3.21x, below the national average of 4.8x. Modest net positive migration (+46 returns/year) provides steady demand support. Climate risk remains low (25/100), favorable for long-term investment stability. Rental yield of 4.83% is moderate, offering acceptable cash flow for leveraged investments.

Affordability

Affordability Score97/100
Price-to-Income Ratio3.2x (national avg 4.8x)
Median Household Income$60,144

Price Forecast Scenarios

12-month projection (Zillow ZHVF model)

Bear Case+1.0%
Base Case+2.1%
Bull Case+3.1%

Climate & Natural Hazard Risk

New Castle, IN's primary climate exposure is tornadoes (50/100). The composite climate risk score of 25/100 (Low) indicates overall risk reflecting favorable conditions for long-term real estate investment. This market benefits from relatively low natural hazard exposure compared to coastal and wildfire-prone regions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Get the full New Castle dataset

Migration flows, ZIP-level neighborhood data, full demographics, price history, and the Market Screener.